OVC still trying to leap playoff hurdle
NCAA Football Betting Lines
07/26/2010 -
Nashville, TN (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - There is so much for cornerback CJ James to
bask in regarding Eastern Illinois' football 2009 season.
From playing before 104,000 fans at Penn State to winning on the road at rival
Jacksonville State to having two four-game winning streaks to capturing the
Ohio Valley Conference championship, the Panthers have a lot to remember.
Yet, no matter what, James' mind always flashes to the way EIU was whipped at
then-No. 1 Southern Illinois in the first round of the FCS playoffs. He felt
the Panthers let the OVC down, and, just as importantly, let their senior class
down.
"When you look at that game, it looked like we weren't supposed to be there. We
didn't really show any fight from looking at the score," James still says with
grimace.
Now a senior himself, James plans a different outcome for this postseason.
"No one wants to leave anything on a bad note. This being my senior year, I
wouldn't want to leave on a bad note," he said.
The Big South and the Northeast Conference are embracing the fact their 2010
champions will have automatic bids for the first time, but the OVC seemingly
needs a different outcome in the postseason more than anybody else. Over the
last nine seasons, OVC teams are 0-12 in the playoffs, and the last one to win
in the postseason - Western Kentucky in 2000 - isn't even in the conference
anymore.
OVC coaches aren't shying away from the bad history. In fact, as the playoffs
expand from 16 to 20 teams, and two of the four additional teams gain at-large
berths, they believe their conference could start to gain multiple berths on a
consistent basis again. If and when that happens, they're the first to say
their teams have to raise their level of play.
If more than the OVC champion extends their season to Thanksgiving weekend and
beyond, the pair could be Jacksonville State and Eastern Illinois, who were
picked first and second, respectively, in the OVC's preseason poll released
today at the conference football media day at LP Field, home of the Tennessee Titans. Eastern Kentucky, which won conference titles in 2007 and '08, isn't
far behind with its talent. Tennessee Tech and Tennessee State, perhaps the
dark horse team in the race, also drew first-team votes in the 18-voter poll.
"We (the OVC) haven't been good enough," Eastern Kentucky coach Dean Hood said
matter-of-factly. "We won the conference championship in 2008 and went and
played at Richmond and they were a lot better football team than us.
"What I like about our league is (when) Eastern Illinois got in (last) year,
I'm cheering for Eastern Illinois, I'm cheering for (coach) Bob Spoo. And I'm
sure the year before when we got in it, no matter what happens on the field in
our game, I guarantee you every single coach and player was cheering for us. We
have a camaraderie in this league, wanting us to win a playoff game. We haven't
been good enough; that's the bottom line."
"We along with everyone else from the OVC that's been in the first round have
not serviced our conference very well," said Spoo, whose program has lost nine
straight first-round games since 1995. "If we had won a couple of those games
and advanced, I think people would have a little more respect, so to speak, for
the OVC. We need to be able to advance; we've got to have a strong showing.
Maybe it would be upsetting some of these (Division) I-A teams (now FBS) that
we're playing along the way to get our rankings up high initially, playing
good, solid football and gaining the respect of the country a little more."
That the OVC's postseason history dates to Murray State's 21-21 tie with Sul
Ross State in the 1948 Tangerine Bowl underscores the conference's snake-bitten
ways. Eastern Kentucky won FCS (then known as Division I-AA) championships in
1979 and '82, but the OVC has been playing catch-up ever since.
Coaches identify the need for a greater commitment, both financially and
philosophically, to improve success. The resources put into the $47 million
renovation at Jacksonville State's Burgess-Snow Field, which the Gamecocks will
debut on Sept. 11 against Chattanooga, is a shining example that should give
JSU both a decided advantage in recruiting and help it close the gap against
top programs nationally.
"The CAA (Colonial Athletic Association) has set the bar," Hood said. "It's the
SEC of FCS football right now.
"We've got to get as-good players and improve our program and get better and be
like the CAA. That's a strong conference right now."
It's not surprising the head coaches and sports information directors from all
nine OVC schools installed Jacksonville State as the preseason favorite. The
Gamecocks would have won their conference title last season had it not been
ineligible because of APR (academic progress rate) sanctions, and they have a
43-13 conference record that is best since they joined the OVC for the 2003
season.
But there's hope around the conference because their Ryan Perriloux-generated
offense of a year ago is breaking in a new starting quarterback, though one-
time Georgia Tech player Marquis Ivory should handle the transition. Top
rushers Calvin Middleton and Jamal Young return to give the offense some juice,
and senior T.J. Heath is one of the FCS' top cornerbacks. The Gamecocks led
the conference in both scoring offense and defense last season.
EIU is nipping at the Gamecocks' heels, however. Not only have James and his
teammates been motivated by last season's playoff demise, but they feature one
of Spoo's more experienced teams. Mon Williams hopes to run wild behind a
veteran offensive line, while defensively all four starting linebackers as well
as James and fellow cornerback Rashad Haynes bolster the unit.
"I know Bob knows they can go play with anybody and I know we can go play with
anybody," said Jacksonville State coach Jack Crowe. "Obviously some people out
there that are making some decisions, I don't think they get it. I think
there's extremely regional biases in FCS football - extremely regional biases.
And I think sometimes when things are done with organizations that really don't
have insight ... Not just us, but I think this whole league, I don't think
we've gotten the credit that we deserve."
Eastern Kentucky features quarterback T.J. Pryor, the 2009 OVC Freshman of the
Year, who might be the best signal-caller in the OVC, although the preseason
first-team distinction went to junior Matt Scheible of Southeast Missouri.
Consistent play at the position will go a long way this season because the OVC
doesn't bring back a lot of top QBs.
The conference is so unpredictable that the preseason favorite in six of the
last seven seasons has not gone on to win the title. Adding to the wacky ways,
last season's two first-team running backs, Terrence Holt and Ryan White,
played for an Austin Peay squad that finished 4-7. Both are back this season.
The OVC's new coaches are Chris Hatcher at Murray State, who arrives after
three years of subpar records at Georgia Southern, and Rod Reed, who was
elevated from the defensive coordinator's position at Tennessee State, his alma
mater.
"You talk about some quality teams in the league," Reed said. "You can't just
go down and say, 'OK, we can expect to win this one, we can expect to ...'
There are quality coaches in this league, like Jacksonville State, Coach Crowe.
You've just got to go out and play hard week in and week out."
The season kicks off on Sept. 4 for OVC teams, and they will be hard-pressed to
have a good overall record by the end of that day. Among the games, Eastern
Illinois visits Iowa, Jacksonville State goes to Ole Miss, UT Martin travels to
Tennessee, Tennessee Tech is at Arkansas, Murray State visits Kent State,
Southeast Missouri goes to Ball State, even Eastern Kentucky faces a difficult
road test within the FCS, at Missouri State.
That just might be the day the OVC is looking for. They could parlay some
strong performances - maybe not wins - into a little more respect nationally.
It could lead up to a deep title race and a then November to remember in the
FCS playoffs.
At least that's what the OVC is pointing toward in 2010.
"I can sit here and tell you that our league is very competitive and it's
better than it's ever been," Spoo said. "Do we match up across the country
nationwide with other teams that are trying to get in there? That I don't know.
But I sure hope that changes."
"The best thing we can do is send a couple teams to the playoffs," Crowe said,
"and we've got to win some games."
OVC PRESEASON POLL (Head Coaches and Sports Information Directors)
1. Jacksonville State (11 first-place votes), 120 points; 2. Eastern Illinois
(4), 114; 3. Eastern Kentucky (1), 102; 4. Tennessee Tech (1), 78; 5. Tennessee
State (1), 70; 6. UT Martin, 59; 7. (tie) Austin Peay, 38; 7. (tie) Southeast
Missouri, 38; 9. Murray State, 29
PRESEASON OVC ALL-CONFERENCE TEAM
Offensive Player of the Year - Terrence Holt, RB/KR, Austin Peay; Defensive
Player of the Year - Josh Bey, LB, UT Martin
Offense
QB- Matt Scheible, Southeast Missouri; RB- Ryan White, Austin Peay; Terrence
Holt, Austin Peay. WR- Tim Benford, Tennessee Tech; Marcus Harris, Murray
State. TE- Cory Freeman, Jacksonville State. C- Willie Henderson, Eastern
Illinois. G- Tylor Chambers, Jacksonville State; Slade Adams, Tennessee Tech.
T- Curt Porter, Jacksonville State; Malcolm Jones, Tennessee Tech
Defense
DL- Andrew Soucy, Eastern Kentucky; Perry Burge, Eastern Illinois; J.J.
Sanchez, Southeast Missouri; Donte'e Nicholls, Tennessee State. LB- Josh Bey,
UT Martin; Jordan Dalrymple, Eastern Kentucky; Nick Nasti, Eastern Illinois.
DB- Eugene Clifford, Tennessee State; T.J. Heath, Jacksonville State; CJ
James, Eastern Illinois; Jeremy Caldwell, Eastern Kentucky
Specialists
PK- Kienan Cullen, Murray State. P- Kienan Cullen, Murray State. RS- Terrence
Holt, Austin Peay
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The 23-ye
Betting the NFL preseason
Rule No. 1 in the gamblers' handbook states, "Avoid sports betting on meaningless games."
When you're drowning in a sea of baseball monotony, however, things change. Even a hint of pro football betting can persuade the most disciplined bettor to break a few rules.
The NFL preseason is around the corner, with a tempting Hall of Fame match kicking off on Sunday. But bettors must stay vigilant. Wagering on NFL exhibition games is an entirely different beast than the regular season. Most fans don't recognize the players on the field because starters get as much action in August as Warcraft fans get on Prom night.
The only certainty about the NFL this time of year is uncertainty – and yet there are some who say betting in August can be a gold mine.
“I actually feel the NFL preseason presents solid profit opportunities for sharp bettors and handicappers,” Sports Expert Steve Merril explains. “My experience has been that the sportsbooks fear the preseason, which is evident by lower limits and massive moves.”
The line moves are attributed to the limited knowledge available regarding playing-time distribution. One team’s top unit out on the field for one more series has an impact on the pointspread. Setting lines in the preseason often is a shot in the dark.
“We base the betting lines mostly on public perception,” Pete Korner, founder of the Sports Club in Las Vegas, says. “It’s very tough to predict, almost a guessing game.”
The preseason is all about figuring out who’s in and for how long.
“It becomes a race between bettors and oddsmakers to find out how long the quarterbacks are going to stay in,” Korner admits. “If a sharp gets the information first, he could exploit an early line. I’m a full believer in moving the line in the preseason if the books find out something late in the week.”
Determining what each team’s motive is can help bettors handicap. To do this you must pay close attention to the philosophies head coaches employ in exhibition play.
“You need to know what a coach is trying to accomplish,” says Covers Expert Bryan Leonard. “Sometimes a new coach will want to instill a winning attitude. Others just want to make sure their starters don’t get hurt."
So how do you distinguish who’s playing scared and who’s playing for keeps?
“Head coaches on the hot seat or new coaches trying to implement a winning attitude usually try harder to win in the preseason,” Merril says.
Cleveland Browns head coach Romeo Crennel fits this criteria. He’s entering his third season as the sideline boss and has yet to lead the Browns to more than six wins.
Cleveland is an enticing bet as well because of the unresolved quarterback situation. General manager Phil Savage sacrificed the Browns’ first-round pick in next year’s draft for Brady Quinn, but the former Notre Dame quarterback hasn’t signed or reported to training camp yet.
Charlie Frye and Derek Anderson split time at QB last season and it looks like either player (or even Quinn) could be the opening-day starter.
“If a team has quarterback depth and the pecking order hasn’t been decided, it’s a big advantage,” Leonard says.
Even in the third week of the preseason when starters generally play the most, the final outcome of the game is in the hands of fringe players. A team's talent, all the way down to the last man on the roster, is something to consider.
The New England Patriots have long been considered one of the deeper teams in the NFL and coach Bill Belichick has said in the past he’s unafraid of stars getting hurt in games with nothing on the line. He shocked his colleagues in 2003 by playing some of his starters on special teams in the preseason.
“We want to have the team ready to play a tough, physical game and preparation has to go into that and I imagine a certain amount of injuries go with it,” Belichick told the Providence Journal in August 2003.
Bettors can only hope to find more teams that share the Pats' business-like approach to the preseason (New England is 17-9-3 against the spread since 2000) and take advantage of teams who detest the exhibition schedule.
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