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Longoria, Rays edge O's to take seriesBaseball Betting Lines07/21/2010 - Baltimore, MD (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Evan Longoria homered, doubled and drove in the game-winning run with a walk, as the Tampa Bay Rays held on for 5-4 win over the Baltimore Orioles in the rubber match of a three-game set at Camden Yards. Willy Aybar and Reid Brignac each chipped in with two hits and an RBI for Tampa Bay, which has won five of its last eight. James Shields (8-9) allowed four runs on eight hits with one walk and struck out a batter in 6 1/3 innings to earn the victory. Rafael Soriano locked the game down with a perfect ninth inning to register his 24th save of the season. Ty Wigginton hit a two-run homer and doubled for the Orioles, who have dropped five of six. Brad Bergesen (3-8) was touched for nine hits and five runs over 5 1/3 frames. The right-hander struck out seven and walked three. He has now taken a loss in four straight outings and dropped six consecutive decisions since a May 12 victory over Seattle. With Tampa Bay clinging to a 5-4 lead in the eighth, Joaquin Benoit was summoned from the Rays' bullpen and allowed Wigginton to reach with a one-out double. Pinch-runner Scott Moore replaced Wigginton and was thrown out at third on a ground ball off the bat of Adam Jones. Felix Pie struck out to end the threat. Soriano came in for the bottom of the ninth and retired the side in order to secure the victory. Longoria's two-out solo homer to left in the first inning gave the Rays the early lead. Tampa Bay then tacked on two more in the second. With runners on first and third and one out, Brignac laced a single to center that brought in Matt Joyce, who started the inning with a double. After Kelly Shoppach flied out to deep left, Ben Zobrist chased in another with a double for a 3-0 game. Longoria got the third inning started with a double and scored three batters later as Aybar roped an RBI two-bagger to right. Baltimore scored three in the fourth to draw to within one. Luke Scott reached with a one-out single and Wigginton followed with a two-run shot to left- center. Jones then singled and scored on Jake Fox's double to make it 4-3. The O's came back to even the game in the fifth on Scott's RBI groundout, but the Rays went back in front in the sixth. Bergesen loaded the bases on a single and a pair of walks with one out and was lifted in favor of Jason Berken, who retired Jason Bartlett on a force out at home. Berken, though, walked Longoria to force in the go-ahead run. Mark Hendrickson replaced Berken and needed only one pitch to set down Carlos Pena. Shields worked a scoreless sixth and gave up a one-out single to Tejada in the seventh, which ended his outing. Randy Choate came on and preserved the slim lead by getting Nick Markakis to ground into a tailor-made 4-6-3 double play. Game Notes Prior to the game, the Orioles reinstated reliever Mike Gonzalez from the 60- day disabled list and transferred pitcher Jim Johnson (right elbow inflammation) from the 15-day to the 60-day DL. In addition, Baltimore recalled pitcher Troy Patton from Triple-A Norfolk and optioned infielder Josh Bell to Norfolk...Rays outfielder Carl Crawford (groin) missed the game and is day-to-day.
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Sportsbook Betting LinesWho Makes the Sportsbook Betting Lines?Las Vegas Sports Consultants (LVSC) is the world’s premier oddsmaking company and the most respected authority on making the lines. Mike Seba is a Senior Oddsmaker at LVSC and has been making lines for the last six years. In our extended interview, Seba explained that there are 4-5 oddsmakers assigned to make lines for each of the major sports (pro & college football and basketball; MLB, NHL, boxing, golf). Each of these oddsmakers bring unique opinions, strengths and weaknesses to the process. Oddsmakers at LVSC are professional sports junkies who love what they do and would probably do it for nothing if you asked them, but they do get paid for it. By necessity their approach is very research-oriented and concise, since with millions of dollars at risk there is little margin for error. “You either have a passion for it or you don’t,” Seba said. “The #1 thing for us is to make a line for each game that creates good two-way action. We do this by drawing from past experiences and applying them to current situations. People think it’s much more complicated, but it’s not. “What are the Football Betting Lines Trying to Accomplish?There is a common misconception that point spreads represent the oddsmakers’ prediction of how many points the favorite will win by. That is not the case at all – their intent is NOT to evenly split the ATS result between the teams; rather, their goal is to attract equal betting action on both sides. Stated another way, they want to create a line that half the people find appealing to bet one way while the other half find it appealing to bet the other way (known as ‘dividing the action’).Divided action means the sportsbook is guaranteed a profit on the game because of the fee charged to the bettor (called juice or vig – typically $11 bet to win $10). How the Opening Line Is MadeThe opening line is the first line created by the oddsmakers, which is then sent out to sportsbooks. Of course there is an entire method to the madness on how the opening line is created. Seba explained that it all starts with each oddsmaker creating a line on each game based upon their own personal approach. This usually includes having up-to-date power ratings on each team.Power ratings are the oddsmaker’s value of each team and are used as a guide to calculate a "preliminary" pointspread on an upcoming game. The power ratings are adjusted after each game a team plays. Examples of non-game factors that would require an adjustment to a team's power rating are key player injuries and player trades. Once a game’s power rating based pointspread is determined, the oddsmaker will make adjustments to that line after considering each team's most recent games played and previous games played against that opponent. Also, adjustments are made after reading each team’s local newspapers to get a sense of what the coaches & players are thinking going into the game.Since the oddsmaker’s ultimate goal is equally dividing the sports betting action, public perception and sportsbook betting patterns must be taken into account. For example, the public might have heavy betting interest week after week on a popular college football betting team such as USC. If an oddsmaker comes up with a preliminary line of USC -7, then an adjustment up to -7.5 or -8 would be made in response to the public’s expected USC bias. The last step in the line-making process for each oddsmaker is taking one final look to determine whether or not the line "feels right." This is where common sense and past experience with how games are bet enters into the picture.A round-table discussion among the 4-5 oddsmakers involved in making the line for each sport is then conducted and a consensus line is decided upon by the Odds Director before it is released to the sportsbooks. Of the 4-5 oddsmakers, generally the 2 most respected opinions are weighed more heavily by the Odds Director before he decides on the final line. Why Sports Betting Lines ChangeOnce the opening line is released by LVSC, the individual sportsbooks decide if they want to make any adjustments before offering it to the public. Reasons for such adjustments include:Experts working for the individual books having a strong opinion on the game Individual books having players who consistently bet with certain tendencies (such as an extreme bias toward favorites or toward a certain popular team like USC)The purpose of these adjustments, like all line adjustments, is to more equally divide the betting action. Once betting begins, sportsbooks can adjust the line at any time. In doing so they attempt to make more attractive the team that is getting less action. By moving the line, sportsbooks can influence how the public bets on a particular game.For example, if the pointspread on a game is 7 and most of the money is coming in on the underdog (taking the +7), sportsbooks will then move the number down to 6 ½ to try and attract money on the favorite. Moving the line is the oddsmaker's effort to balance betting action, and often times such moves can have a major impact on a bettor’s decision. Oddsmakers can also change the line depending on various event-related factors such as player injuries or weather. Obviously, if the line comes out a week ahead of the event (which is the case in football), there is much that could happen during the week leading up to the event that could affect the line. Oddsmakers have to determine if any changes are necessary and send out an "adjusted line."“The main objective is that our clients get equal action on both sides,” Seba said. “We’re not trying to pick the team that covers the spread, we’re trying to make it a coin flip, a tough decision (for the bettor). If we’ve done that, we’ve done our job.” To visit this internet sportsbook got to MySportsbook.com for all your sports betting needs and World Series odds. |
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