CFL Previews - July 29-31 - Week Five
Football Betting Lines
07/28/2010 -
Philadelphia, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) -
TORONTO ARGONAUTS (3-1) AT MONTREAL ALOUETTES (3-1)
DATE & TIME: Thursday, July 29, 7:30 p.m. (et).
GAME NOTES: With their touchdown drought now a memory, the Montreal Alouettes
turn their attention to the Toronto Argonauts as the two clubs, tied for the
lead in the CFL's Eastern Division, tangle at McGill Stadium on Thursday
night.
Even though Montreal finally put the brakes on an unhealthy run of being held
out of the end zone, last week the team leaned heavily on the kicking game in
order to get them over the hump. Damon Duval tied a career-high with seven
field goals as he helped lead the Alouettes to a commanding 37-14 win over the
visiting Hamilton Tiger-Cats last Thursday. Duval finished the night with 22
points as Montreal logged its third straight win after losing the season
opener to Saskatchewan in overtime, 54-51.
Quarterback Anthony Calvillo, who came up lame late in the first half but
returned to action, also had a strong outing as he converted 28-of-38 passes
for 309 yards and a pair of touchdowns, getting his team into the end zone for
the first time in six quarters when he struck in the fourth period.
As for the Argos, they tied their entire win total from a year ago (3-15) when
they slipped by British Columbia on Friday night, 24-20, at home at the Rogers
Centre. After starting slow and amassing just 10 points through the first
three quarters, Toronto got a late boost from quarterback Cleo Lemon and, more
importantly Byron Parker who returned an interception 41 yards for the go-
ahead score with under two-and-a-half minutes remaining in regulation.
For Parker, the pick-six was the seventh of his career, leaving him one shy of
the all-time CFL record.
Lemon, who absorbed a nasty hit from Solomon Elimimian but still managed to
work his way back into the huddle, converted 19-of-28 passes for 222 yards and
a pair of touchdowns. He was however, picked off twice and sacked three times
in the victory. Running back Cory Boyd posted his third straight 100-yard
rushing effort as he gained a game-high 148 yards on 19 carries, his 41-yard
burst in the fourth quarter setting up a clutch TD pass from Lemon to Brandon
Rideau.
Toronto has played far too many tight games in the early going and, after four
weeks of action, are the only team in the league with a winning record that
has allowed more points (108) than it has scored (103), and that certainly has
to be a concern for the coaching staff as they prepare for a Montreal squad
that has finally found an offense after hitting a dry spell.
Boyd has found his way through defenses for the most part, save for the season
opener when he was held in check, but that was a game in which all of the
Toronto offense was handled by Calgary to begin with. Considering this was an
Argos unit that was expected to be the easiest target in the CFL this season,
anything positive that goes on from here out should be considered a huge step
in the right direction. Boyd currently leads the league in yards from
scrimmage with 455 and is first overall in rushing with 431 yards on 66
carries, but he has just a single touchdown to his credit and that's not
enough to keep the pressure off his quarterback.
Lemon is not going to be able to elude defenders much longer if his offensive
line doesn't work harder to keep him upright. Of the quarterbacks who have
started all four games thus far, Lemon is at the bottom of the list with his
59.1 percent accuracy and has one more interception (four) than touchdown
(three). As a team, the Argos have the weakest passing attack in the league,
while Calvillo and Co. again have the top efficiency rating at 101.7 at this
stage.
If Lemon isn't careful this week, he's going to be exposed to a heavy dose of
John Bowman who, after leading the team last season with 12 sacks, the most in
a decade for a single Montreal performer, already has five quarterback
takedowns so far this season. Thanks in part to Bowman, who was named the CFL
Defensive Player of the Week after posting four sacks and two forced fumbles
in the win over Hamilton, Montreal is easily at the top of the turnover list
with a plus 10. No other team in the league has more than a plus-one in
turnovers, with Toronto being one of those squads.
Obviously as he showed last week, Parker has the ability to change the
complexion of a game with one quick burst to the end zone, but the Argos
cannot be waiting on Parker to carry them into the win column yet again,
especially with Calvillo finally getting his confidence and beginning to hit
his marks as everyone expects of the reigning MVP.
In terms of the all-time series between these two clubs, taking into account
regular season matchups dating back to 1946, the Alouettes own a mark of
101-80-3 at this juncture. The teams met three times in 2009 and Montreal
claimed each and every meeting by double figures, the last of which was a
42-17 final on November 7 on the road. The Als have in fact won six straight
encounters, the last victory for the Argos coming by a 16-9 score on October
20, 2007, which also happens to be the last time Toronto enjoyed a win streak
of at least three games as well.
The teams are set to face each other three more times during 2010, with an
August 14 date in Toronto and an October 29 meeting at the Roger Centre as
well, not to mention a November 7 affair back in Montreal to close out the
regular season.
The Argos have been getting by with smoke and mirrors the last few weeks and
at some point an opponent is going to make them pay. Expect Montreal and
Calvillo to call in that debt and take advantage of a weak Toronto offense on
the way to taking the top spot in the division.
Sportsbook Betting Lines Predicted Outcome: Montreal 38, Toronto 17
BRITISH COLUMBIA LIONS (1-3) AT EDMONTON ESKIMOS (0-4)
DATE & TIME: Friday, July 30, 9:00 p.m. (et).
GAME NOTES: Off to their worst start in nearly half a century, the Edmonton
Eskimos again take aim at their first win of 2010 when they entertain the
British Columbia Lions on Friday night at Commonwealth Stadium in Alberta.
Edmonton, which hasn't won the Western Division title since putting together a
three-year run between 2001-2003, probably won't be raising another trophy
anytime soon since the club is off to an 0-4 start for the first time since
1965. Despite having the most overall victories (591) of any club in the CFL
since 1945, the Eskimos are currently suffering from a five-game slide dating
back to last year.
Rick Lelacheur, president and CEO of the Eskimos, has made it clear that
losing is no longer an option for this once proud team and that being
embarrassed as they have is simply not acceptable. It remains to be seen what
Lelacheur has in mind, but he has stated that the entire franchise is under
scrutiny and changes could extend throughout the organization if improvements
are not immediately made.
Last week the Eskimos were ripped apart by the Winnipeg Blue Bombers who not
only scored 21 points off Edmonton turnovers, but they came up with a 47
points overall in the 26-point victory, and all of that with a backup
quarterback manning the action for the home team.
Edmonton QB Ricky Ray had a mixed bag when it came to his results, converting
18-of-25 pass attempts for 202 yards and a pair of touchdowns, but he also
tossed two interceptions. Early in the fourth quarter the Eskimos pulled Ray
in favor of backup Jason Maas, but the move did little to change the lopsided
outcome as Maas converted only 1-of-9 passes for 29 yards.
Receiver Fred Stamps, who had a combined 332 yards receiving in the two games
leading up to the Winnipeg meeting, caught just two balls for 22 yards and
watched his per catch average take a dip down to 16.2 yards after the outing.
Finding a sustained offense has been a problem for the Lions so far this
season as well, the team now riding a three-game skid and sitting in third
place in the Western Division standings.
Ahead by a score of 20-10 in the fourth quarter, the Lions appeared to be on
their way to evening their record on the season, but instead both the offense
and defense cracked and allowed Toronto to fight back for the 24-20 decision
at the Rogers Centre last Friday.
Even though Casey Printers could have made the start for the Lions last week
against Toronto, BC opted to go with Travis Lulay and considering it was the
youngster's first-ever CFL start he did pretty well. Lulay hit 26-of-40 passes
for 330 yards, with 58 of those coming on a desperation heave at the gun, but
he was also tabbed for a pair of costly interceptions, one of which was
returned 41 yards for the game-winning score.
Jamal Robertson helped shoulder some of the load for the Lions as he gained 54
yards and scored two majors on 12 carries coming out of the backfield, but the
team as a whole was credited with a mere 76 yards rushing on 18 attempts, less
than half what the BC defense gave up (161 yards) to the Lions.
Oddly enough, even though BC has just one win in four tries this season and
allowed a victory to slip away last week, the program actually moved up two
spots in the latest power rankings to fourth, while Edmonton advanced to
seventh only after Hamilton suffered such an ugly loss to Montreal on the
road.
The Lions made a couple of moves off the field this week as they cut ties with
kick returner Robert Jordan, but added quarterback Mike Reilly to the practice
squad. Reilly was one of the most accomplished QBs in Division II history
while at Central Washington, but his addition to the club doesn't make clear
who it will be making the start for the Lions this week, whether it will again
be Lulay or if Printers is ready to return.
No matter who it is under center for the Lions, the fact remains that the
passing attack is not all that it could be, completing just 59.4 percent and
having accounted for three touchdowns, compared to four interceptions. Then
again, Edmonton is having similar issues with the same TD and INT numbers
through the air at this stage.
Edmonton has fared somewhat well against opposing quarterbacks, allowing for
the fewest passing first downs (40) in the league thus far, but if the run
defense doesn't put up a strong enough front the Lions might not have to put
the ball in the air as much anyway.
In terms of the all-time, regular-season series between these two teams,
dating back to 1949 the Eskimos maintain an advantage of 99-68-4. The Lions
won the first meeting of the season back on July 4 with a 25-10 decision,
avenging a lopsided 45-13 setback to Edmonton late in the 2009 campaign. The
clubs also have an October 16 date set for British Columbia.
The pressure coming down on the Eskimos is almost palpable, but just because
Lelacheur is going to be over everyone's shoulder doesn't mean Edmonton is
ready to make a drastic change. BC has already shown that it can defeat the
Eskimos, even if it was with Printers at the helm, but expect the outcome to
be much the same this week.
Sportsbook Betting Lines Predicted Outcome: British Columbia 31, Edmonton 20
HAMILTON TIGER-CATS (1-3) AT SASKATCHEWAN ROUGHRIDERS (3-1)
DATE & TIME: Saturday, July 31, 6:30 p.m. (et).
GAME NOTES: No longer the last undefeated team in the CFL this season, the
Saskatchewan Roughriders try to continue their recent dominance over the
Hamilton Tiger-Cats when the two squads clash at Mosaic Stadium in Regina on
Saturday.
The Roughriders, who erupted for 54 points during a season-opening, overtime
win over Montreal, were limited to a season-low 20 points last weekend in
their 20-point loss to Calgary on the road. For the first time this season,
Saskatchewan failed to score the first points of the game and the team's
defense completely broke down in the second half as it allowed 33 points.
Quarterback Darian Durant was held in check for much of the game, throwing his
lone touchdown of the event late in the fourth quarter, once the outcome had
already been decided. Durant finished the night 22-of-37 for 354 yards, but he
was picked off three times and sacked twice.
Weston Dressler accounted for nine receptions for 125 yards, both of which
were game highs. Running back Wes Cates added another 83 yards and a score on
16 rushing attempts.
As for the Tiger-Cats, they kept things close against Montreal in the first
half last Thursday, but then Hamilton allowed the Alouettes into the end zone
in the second half and that was too much to take in the 37-14 final at McGill
Stadium. Quarterback Kevin Glenn hit 16-of-32 passes for 201 yards, but late
in the meeting he was taken out in favor of Quinton Porter who converted 5-
of-7 passes for 70 yards, one touchdown and one interception, while suffering
a pair of sacks along the way.
The so-called rushing attack of the Ti-Cats was limited to only 49 yards on 14
attempts, with DeAndre Cobb gaining a team-best 25 yards on eight tries. Cobb
has had some serious trouble gaining his footing early in the season, amassing
a combined 137 yards on 39 attempts which means, of the league's top 30
runners after four games, Cobb has the worst average per carry (3.5 yards) by
far.
As a group, Hamilton is the weakest rushing team in the league with only 71.5
ypg, gaining a full yard less per attempt than any other team in the CFL at
the moment.
Needing Glenn to bounce back in order to give them a fighting chance this time
around, the Tiger-Cats understand that their best offensive threat stems from
Glenn in the pocket. The signal-caller has completed better than 65 percent of
his attempts for close to 1,100 yards and has five touchdowns and just a
single interception to his credit, the fewest miscues of any starter in the
league right now.
Even though he had a sub-par game judging by his own standards, Durant is
still the quarterback by which the rest of the league is measured through four
games, at least in terms of his overall yardage which stands at 1,325 yards.
Having completed close to 61 percent of his attempts thus far, Durant is tied
for second in the league with eight touchdown throws.
Now in his fifth CFL season, Cates is on pace to have his most successful
campaign now that he has 400 yards and three touchdowns through four games.
Perhaps most impressive is his average of seven yards per attempt, although
that's not an average that will stand up through all the bumps and bruises of
an entire regular season. Nevertheless, the Roughriders as a team have been
taking it to the rest of the league with their running game, averaging a CFL-
best 178 ypg and an explosive 8.1 yards per attempt. Again, those numbers will
not stand up over time, but at least for the moment opponents like Hamilton
will have to guard against them.
Saskatchewan has won 11 of the last 12 meetings with the Ti-Cats, although it
was Hamilton that posted a 24-6 triumph in the most recent encounter last
October 31 at home. As a result of that outcome, the all-time regular-season
series is knotted at 36-36-4 dating back to 1950.
The Roughriders have won both of their home dates thus far in 2010, while
Hamilton has come up empty in two road dates. The Tiger-Cats will serve as
hosts for the only other meeting this year between the two clubs, slated for
September 25.
Durant and Cates are as scary a one-two punch as there is in the league
entering the fifth week of the season and if Hamilton eases up on one, expect
the other to take advantage.
Sportsbook Betting Lines Predicted Outcome: Saskatchewan 38, Hamilton 27
WINNIPEG BLUE BOMBERS (2-2) AT CALGARY STAMPEDERS (3-1)
DATE & TIME: Saturday, July 31, 9:30 p.m. (et).
GAME NOTES: Having knocked off the last unbeaten club in the CFL during the
fourth week of the 2010 season, the Calgary Stampeders now try to better their
position atop the Western Division standings as they clash with the Winnipeg
Blue Bombers at McMahon Stadium on Saturday night.
For the Stamps, last week's meeting with Saskatchewan was tough through the
first 30 minutes, but once the second half began the entire complexion of the
game changed and Calgary ran away with an easy 40-20 victory. Henry Burris,
who was intercepted four times in the loss to Toronto a week earlier, came
alive this time around by throwing for 285 yards and four touchdowns, while
surviving a pair of interceptions.
Doing most of the damage down the field for Burris and the Stamps was Romby
Bryant who caught seven balls for 116 yards and a pair of touchdowns, his
efforts earning him Offensive Player of the Week honors on Tuesday. Not to be
overlooked was running back Joffrey Reynolds who carried the ball 15 times for
a game-high 93 yards and a score. Reynolds, who is currently third in the
league in rushing with 351 yards on 56 attempts, has proven in recent years
that he can carry much of the rushing burden for a team, having scored a
combined 21 rushing TDs the last two seasons.
As for the Blue Bombers, they set up against a winless Edmonton team at home
last week and, even though the host team was operating without regular starter
Buck Pierce at quarterback, the odds were still heavily in favor of Winnipeg.
Stepping in for Pierce, who was sidelined with a knee injury, was Steven Jyles
who completed 14-of-22 passes for 267 yards and a touchdown. Granted, Jyles
was sacked twice and picked off two times, but he made up for that by filling
the running shoes left by Pierce, gaining 63 yards and scoring twice himself
on just eight attempts.
Running back Fred Reid accounted for another 69 yards and a score on 16
carries for the Bombers as they completely dominated a weak Eskimos team in a
47-21 final. Terence Jeffers-Harris, who caught the lone TD pass from Jyles,
finished with 97 yards on a mere three catches, his scoring play covering a
thrilling 46 yards in which Jyles was forced to scramble out of the pocket and
the receiver then ran the width of the field to make it into the corner of the
end zone.
Getting Winnipeg off on the right foot in the meeting last week was Moton
Hopkins who intercepted a Ricky Ray pass in the first quarter and returned it
36 yards to the end zone to put the Bombers ahead and give them the momentum
to carry them through the entire matchup.
Because of players like Hopkins, the pass defense for the Blue Bombers is at
the top of the charts in the league entering the fifth week, allowing just
238.5 ypg, although opponents have still found a way to complete 61.2 percent
of their attempts against the Bombers secondary. Winnipeg has been rather
strong against the run as well, permitting just 102 ypg to rank third in the
league at this stage. However, even though the stats seem to lean in favor of
Winnipeg in several areas, the fact remains that the team is giving up a hefty
28.5 ppg at the moment.
In contrast, Calgary's scoring defense is beyond reproach, allowing just 21.2
ppg to lead the CFL.
Throw out the one game in which Burris tossed those four interceptions, and
the numbers for the quarterback look a whole lot brighter. He currently leads
the league in TD passes with nine and has completed 62.2 percent of his
attempts. However, because of those league-high eight picks, Burris has an
efficiency rating of just 81.7.
With Bryant, who is tied for the league high with four TD catches, on his side
Burris is only going to get better as the year goes on. Making it even easier
for the signal-caller is Reynolds coming out of the backfield, averaging close
to six and a half yards per carry as he ranks third in the league with 351
yards overall.
Dating back to 1945 and only taking into account regular-season meetings,
Calgary owns a 94-89 edge in the series with the Blue Bombers. The most recent
regular-season meeting went to the Stamps in a 31-23 decision at home. As a
result, Calgary has taken two of the last three encounters with the Bombers.
These teams are set to finish off the 2010 regular season against each other
in Winnipeg, their only other scheduled meeting of this season.
After last week's game, Burris should have the sort of confidence he needs to
get him through a meeting such as this. The only question for the Stamps is
how well their run defense is going to perform against an aggressive Winnipeg
squad that seems to thrive on the ground.
Sportsbook Betting Lines Predicted Outcome: Calgary 35, Winnipeg 22
Sportsbook Betting Lines Season Predictions: 10-6; Last Week: 3-1.
<< Stampeders play host to Blue Bombers
Calgary, AB (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Having knocked off the last unbeaten club in
the CFL during the fourth week of the 2010 season, the Calgary Stampeders now
try to better their position atop the Western Division standings as they clash
with the Wi
<< Blue Jackets avoid arbitration with Stralman
Columbus, OH (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Columbus Blue Jackets have re-signed
defenseman Anton Stralman to a one-year contract.
Financial terms were not disclosed, but the agreement avoided a salary
arbitration hearing scheduled for
<< Ellis shuts down Panama in 9-2 win
Thunder Bay, Canada (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Mike Ellis is like any other player on
Canada's junior national baseball team - following his passion by playing the
sport he loves.
What's different about him and the rest of Team Canada's 18-and-under
<< Injury-depleted Tigers continue set at the Trop
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Detroit Tigers are hurting, both on the field and in
the American League playoff race.
Faced with the prospect of their longest road losing streak in nearly five
years, the battered and badly-struggling Tigers continue
<< A-Rod takes another crack at 600th home run in Cleveland
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Alex Rodriguez was supposed to take center stage in the
New York Yankees' game with the Cleveland Indians last night, but an unknown
rookie on the opposing team wound up being the star of the show.
After coming up empty on
Yao can see the end of the line >>
Philadelphia, PA - (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Your average human being doesn't stand
7-foot-6 and weigh 310 pounds.
In basketball, size among the skilled is the holy grail -- the only thing you
can't teach. But, like anything else, there are pros an
Cody passes Ravens' conditioning test >>
Westminster, MD (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Baltimore Ravens rookie defensive tackle
Terrence Cody passed the team's conditioning test on Wednesday morning and
will be cleared to begin practicing.
Cody was unable to complete the team's runn
Dolphins extend K Carpenter >>
West Palm Beach, FL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Miami Dolphins reportedly handed
kicker Dan Carpenter a three-year contract extension Wednesday.
The Palm Beach Post reports the pact runs through the 2013 season and is worth
$6.205 million. The
Line of Scrimmage: The T.O. Factor >>
Philadelphia, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Given their recent history of off-the-field
problems, it's tempting to quip that the Cincinnati Bengals' signing of Terrell
Owens is an attempt to improve the team's character.
It's natural to laugh at an
Seahawks agree to terms with Tate >>
Renton, WA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Seattle Seahawks and second-round draft pick
Golden Tate have agreed to terms on a contract.
Tate confirmed the news via Twitter, posting: "Praise God!!! Terms and
conditions have been reached for th
My fellow Americans, as tempting as it may be to don the coat and HD-ready tie in order to deliver this State of the Game address before the cameras, I know better. As Brad Paisley sings on his latest album, "I'm so much cooler online."
The ideas for this annual essay to kick off the MySportsbook.com college football betting preview flowed like frat-house beer, which is to say they were cheap and spilled all over the floor. The 2007 season will be better than 2007, if only because there will be more of it. A year ago, the NCAA Football Rules Committee made two rule changes in the interest of speeding up the game. These changes went over like Kobe burgers at a vegan banquet.
To its credit, the rules committee rectified its mistakes. This season the clock once again will start when a kickoff is received, rather than when it is kicked, and the clock will not start so quickly on a change of possession.
However, kickoffs have been moved back five yards, to the 30, which will force more returns. (Thus forcing the clock to run. Clever, huh?) Special teams might decide a lot of games, because coaching strategy will come straight out of another new Paisley lyric (almost), I'd like to check you for kicks.
Paisley sings with a twang, which is why he's appropriate for this college football season. The sun coming up over the 2007 college football betting lines season rises from the south. It's a Southern football world. As the Southeastern Conference begins its 75th year, the power shift is noticeable.
Eight-figure budgets, glamorous settings -- and that's just for the head coaches. The SEC has four coaches who have won national championships -- the greatest aggregation of coaching know-how since Eddie Robinson dined alone.
Steve Spurrier, Phil Fulmer, Nick Saban and Urban Meyer have given lie to the idea that a conference championship game is too daunting a hurdle on the road to No. 1. In six of the past 10 seasons, the national champions played and won a conference championship game -- three of the six (Tennessee, 1998; LSU, 2003; Florida, 2007) from the SEC.
There will be more of the same this season, if the preseason prognostications are correct. Six SEC teams are in the preseason coaches' poll, more than from any other conference. Only one conference has talent so deep that a team with 15 returning starters, including the best quarterback in the league, from an eight-win season is considered an afterthought. That may speak more to Kentucky's losing legacy than to the wisdom of the predictions, but there you have it. And seriously, keep an eye on Wildcats QB Andre' Woodson.
The reach of the South extends all the way to No. 1. Take a look at the team that is a consensus pick to win the national championship. The quarterback is from Shreveport. The best wide receiver is from Nashville. The top recruit is from New Orleans.
So what's the campus doing in Los Angeles? Hey, it is the University of Southern California.
USC lost two Pacific-10 Conference games a year ago, the first time that had happened in five seasons, and university officials withstood the urge to form blue-ribbon panels to unearth the cause of such a disaster. Instead, the Trojans gathered themselves and routed Michigan, 32-18, in the Rose Bowl.
USC's losses at Oregon State and at UCLA last year should have given pause to those who question the Pac-10's football prowess (such as, without naming names, L.M. from Baton Rouge). The league only got deeper this season; Dennis Erickson is taking over an Arizona State team that never quite got out of its own way under his predecessor, Dirk Koetter.
Erickson will resume his quest to become the first coach to win a national championship at two schools. Both he and Spurrier, now in his third season at South Carolina, returned to college football at schools with lower profiles than where they won their titles.
That isn't the case for the third coach looking for the national championship double. You may have missed this, but NASA reported the astronauts on the space shuttle last spring made contact with what can only be described as beings from another galaxy.
The leader of the aliens said, "We come in peace," followed by, "So how do you think Nick Saban will do at Alabama?"
The public is reacting to the new Crimson Tide coach as if he is the Barry Bonds of college football -- beloved at home for what his fans believe he is going to do, hated on the road for his intimidating attitude and for what his detractors believe he did (bend NCAA recruiting rules). I made this comparison from the dais at a charity dinner in Mobile, Ala., last month, and the chill that washed over me didn't come from the air conditioning.
Saban will attempt to prove that he can remake in Tuscaloosa what he built in Baton Rouge, much like another member of the national championship fraternity. Bobby Bowden is attempting to remake at Florida State what he built at, um, Florida State. Bowden rebuilt his offensive staff, bringing in four new coaches led by Saban's former offensive coordinator, Jimbo Fisher, to jump-start an offense that has been dead for a couple of years.
The Atlantic Coast Conference is expected to show new signs of life, too. That is said with no disrespect toward last season's champion, Wake Forest, which provided one of the best story lines of 2007. The Demon Deacons begin this season in their customary position, overshadowed by the Virginia Techs, Miamis and Florida States.
It's not that Wake will find it difficult to duplicate its success in 2007 as much as the feeling that success engendered. Surprising success is the narcotic of sport. It never feels quite so euphoric the next time. Big East commissioner Mike Tranghese has figured this out. He refers to 2007, when a league looked down upon by fans and foes alike took three undefeated teams into November, as "Cinderella."
The fairy tale may be over, but the Big East has four genuine Heisman Trophy candidates in Louisville quarterback Brian Brohm, West Virginia tailback Steve Slaton and quarterback Pat White, and Rutgers tailback Ray Rice. Rutgers, as did Wake Forest and, of course, Boise State, proved last season that the have-nots in college football occasionally have quite a lot.
The Broncos' rousing 43-42 overtime victory over Oklahoma in the Fiesta Bowl has raised the profile of all schools in conferences that don't get automatic BCS bids. This season, TCU and Hawaii are the preseason favorites to burst through the BCS doors and earn an at-large bid. The Warriors return 14 starters from an 11-3 team, including quarterback Colt Brennan.
Brennan not only broke the single-season record with 58 touchdown passes in 2007, but he also led Division I-A in passing efficiency (186.0). The senior is expected to contend for the Heisman Trophy, and neither his success nor the rise of his team should come as any surprise in the 2007 season.
After all, Hawaii is the southernmost team in the country.
To visit this sportsbook got to MySportsbook.com for all your football betting needs. Mysportsbook.com online sportsbook accepts Visa and Mastercard credit cards.
FOOTBALL BETTING : Crabtree's base deal: six years, $32 million
Football Betting
In the wake of the news that the 49ers have signed receiver Michael Crabtree after an extended holdout, there has been not a hint of the dollars to be paid to Crabtree.
And since this means that his agent hasn't leaked the numbers, it means that his agent feels no specific motivation to do so.
Possibly because his agent isn't all that thrilled to have his name on the deal.
So the numbers will come from sources other than Crabtree's agent. And we've gotten our mitts into them.
Per a league source, Crabtree has signed a six-year, $32 million contract. (The total includes guaranteed money, base salaries, and the one-time incentive based on achieving minimum playing time.)
The deal also includes $17 million in guaranteed money.
As reported elsewhere, the deal can void to five years based on performance triggers, wiping out a final year base salary of $4 million. But they won't be easily reached.
The source tells us that, in his first four seasons (including 2009), Crabtree must either qualify for two Pro Bowls, or he must qualify for one Pro Bowl in one year and he must participate in 80 percent of the offensive snaps in a separate year in which the team makes the playoffs.
In other words, if in 2010 he qualifies for the Pro Bowl and the team makes the playoffs and he participates in 80 percent of the snaps, he'll still need to make it to the Pro Bowl or achieve the 80-percent/playoffs in another season.
Since the chances of Crabtree making the Pro Bowl or participating in 80 percent of the offensive snaps this year is roughly zero percent, he'll have three years to get it done.
And it won't be easy. Frankly, he'll be hard pressed to make it to one Pro Bowl in three years with the likes of Larry Fitzgerald, Calvin Johnson, Anquan Boldin, Steve Smith, the other Steve Smith, Hakeem Nicks, DeSean Jackson, Johnny Knox, Percy Harvin, Greg Jennings, Roddy White, T.J. Houshmandzadeh in the same conference for sportsbook betting.
So, by all appearances, it's a six-year deal. And at $17 million in guaranteed money, the per-year guarantee is a tepid $2.83 million per year.
There's another problem with the deal -- it has no mid-tier incentive package. Instead, the additional $8 million that Crabtree can earn (pushing the max value to six years, $40 million) requires the kind of unrealistic, mega-star performances that no rookie is likely to ever achieve.
So while the contract paid to Packers defensive tackle B.J. Raji covers five years and pays $22.5 million, he has the ability (if he's a solid player) to make up the difference between his base deal and Crabtree's five-year, $28 million haul via the mid-tier incentive package in Raji's deal.
And unless Crabtree meets the performance thresholds necessary to void the sixth year, he'll be stuck under contract for another year at a base salary of only $4 million.
There's one other area of concern with the deal. Crabtree, per the source, received no option bonus. Instead, he has significant money tied to a fairly new device known as a "discretionary salary advance," which unlike an opition bonus is subject to forfeiture if Crabtree decides in a year or two that he wants to hold out for a better deal. (We're also told that the 49ers have included language that would make certain escalators subject to forfeiture, too.)
Meanwhile, the deal falls well short of the mark for which Crabtree and agent Eugene Parker were aiming -- the five-year, $38.25 million contract paid by the Raiders to receiver Darrius Heyward-Bey, the seventh overall pick in the draft.
Even if Crabtree successfully voids the final year, he'll make more than $2 million per year less on average than Heyward-Bey.
Thus, as we explained earlier in the day, this is a deal that Crabtree could have done in July, which would have given him a much better chance of making a contribution to the 49ers during his rookie year.
So while the final outcome can be described as win-win, the broader view suggests that it's really a lose-lose situation.
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